Bayesning qoidasi Bayes qoidasidan foydalanib o'lchanadi. Ushbu qoidaga ko'ra, E dalillar to'plami berilganda, H gipotezasining a posteriori ehtimolligi H ning a priori ehtimolligi, E ning H ga berilgan ehtimoli (probability) va E ning umumiy ehtimoli (evidence) dan kelib chiqib hisoblanishi mumkin. Bayes qoidasi matematik jihatdan quyidagicha ifodalanadi: P (E) = P (E) * P (E) / P (E) Bu yerda: P (E) - yangi dalillar berilganda, H gipotezasining a posteriori ehtimolligi E (E) - verosimiliti, ya'ni hozirgi dalillar ehtimoli E gipotezani berganda.
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