《宋史·列传·卷一百六十二》
赵方料想金人在枣阳多次不得志，必将同时进攻各城，应该先发制人。
方料金人数不得志于枣阳，必将同时并攻诸城，当先发以制之。
Zhao Fang surmised that the Jurchens must be simultaneously attacking many cities since they had repeatedly failed to achieve their goals in Zaoyang; the Song should launch a preemptive strike.