Answers.Body: <p>GPT2 predicts the next word that people will say. <a href="https://openai.com/blog/better-language-models/" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://openai.com/blog/better-language-models/</a>
  Facebook predicts what will make you keep using their site.
  Youtube predicts what videos you will click on.</p>
  
Answers.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Answers.CreationDate: 2020-01-02T22:06:01.060Z
Answers.LastActivityDate: 2020-01-02T22:06:01.060Z
Answers.UserDisplayName: jgleoj23
Answers.Body: <blockquote>
  <p>Is there an AI technology out there or being developed that can
  predict human behaviour ?</p>
  </blockquote>
  <p>If it can predict (all) human behavior, it can act as an human, thus, it will be the first real (strong) AI. This has not happened yet.</p>
  <p>I must remark that the question contains a lot of weakly defined terms. Fix these terms can help to work in the question subject:</p>
  <ul>
  <li>&quot;human behavior&quot; : the behavior of an individual or the behavior of all humans as a set ? (bigger groups tends to be more predictable).</li>
  <li>&quot;irrational decision-makers&quot; : it assumes that it exists a &quot;rational&quot; way of take all decisions.</li>
  <li>&quot;humans are perfectly rational, but obviously this isn't the case&quot; : same as previous.</li>
  <li>&quot;better models and therefore  better models of recessions&quot; : recessions are not caused by &quot;irrational decisions&quot;.</li>
  </ul>
  <p>(In fact, each of these points could be an independent question at this site, more according to its manifest that all the plague of questions about neural nets).</p>
  
Answers.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Answers.CreationDate: 2020-10-11T18:34:07.423Z
Answers.LastActivityDate: 2020-10-11T18:51:13.750Z
Answers.LastEditDate: 2020-10-11T18:51:13.750Z
Answers.UserDisplayName: pasaba por aqui
Body: <p>Is there an AI technology out there or being developed that can predict human behaviour, given that we as humans are irrational decision-makers?</p>
  <p>I'm looking at this from an economic standpoint - the issue with current economic models is that they assume that humans are perfectly rational, but obviously this isn't the case. Could AI develop better models and therefore produce better models of recessions?</p>
  
Comments.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Comments.CreationDate: 2019-12-31T09:36:28.293Z
Comments.Text: Could you clarify what you mean by "predict"? Would doing as well as or better than  another human count, even if the percentage of successful predictions is low (e.g. a human would predict someone else's behaviour and get it right 5% of the time, but a machine might get it right 10% of the time).
Comments.UserDisplayName: Neil Slater
Comments.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Comments.CreationDate: 2019-12-31T12:50:37.583Z
Comments.Text: Irrational in the sense that humans face bounded rationality. We can't make completely rational decisions like "homo economicus" because of information failure etc.
Comments.UserDisplayName: ABCBAA
Tags: <machine-learning><reference-request><prediction>
Title: Is there an AI technology that can predict human behaviour?
UserDisplayName: ABCBAA
ThreadText: # Is there an AI technology that can predict human behaviour?
  
  (Asked by: username_0 on 2019-12-30)
  
  Is there an AI technology out there or being developed that can predict human behaviour, given that we as humans are irrational decision-makers?
  
  I'm looking at this from an economic standpoint - the issue with current economic models is that they assume that humans are perfectly rational, but obviously this isn't the case. Could AI develop better models and therefore produce better models of recessions?
  
  **Tags:** machine-learning, reference-request, prediction
  > **Comments:**
  > **username_1**: Could you clarify what you mean by "predict"? Would doing as well as or better than  another human count, even if the percentage of successful predictions is low (e.g. a human would predict someone else's behaviour and get it right 5% of the time, but a machine might get it right 10% of the time).  
  > **username_0**: Irrational in the sense that humans face bounded rationality. We can't make completely rational decisions like "homo economicus" because of information failure etc.  
  
  ---
  
  ## 2 answers
  
  ### Answer by username_2 on 2020-01-02. Score: 1
  
  GPT2 predicts the next word that people will say. <https://openai.com/blog/better-language-models/>
  Facebook predicts what will make you keep using their site.
  Youtube predicts what videos you will click on.
  
  
  ---
  
  ### Answer by username_3 on 2020-10-11. Score: 1
  
  > Is there an AI technology out there or being developed that can
  > predict human behaviour ?
  
  If it can predict (all) human behavior, it can act as an human, thus, it will be the first real (strong) AI. This has not happened yet.
  
  I must remark that the question contains a lot of weakly defined terms. Fix these terms can help to work in the question subject:
  
  * "human behavior" : the behavior of an individual or the behavior of all humans as a set ? (bigger groups tends to be more predictable).
  * "irrational decision-makers" : it assumes that it exists a "rational" way of take all decisions.
  * "humans are perfectly rational, but obviously this isn't the case" : same as previous.
  * "better models and therefore better models of recessions" : recessions are not caused by "irrational decisions".
  
  (In fact, each of these points could be an independent question at this site, more according to its manifest that all the plague of questions about neural nets).
  
  
  ---
  
  