Answers.Body: <p>We are currently working on an opening book for all Chess 960 variants: <a href="https://github.com/stumpc5/chess960" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://github.com/stumpc5/chess960</a>.
  The analysis is based on 20k games played per starting position with Stockfish 16 and we list <a href="https://github.com/stumpc5/chess960/blob/main/analysis_overview.md#sorted-by-average-points-for-white" rel="nofollow noreferrer">white/black/draw percentages for each starting position</a>.</p>
  <p>Here is the outcome on 960 x 20k games with SF16:</p>
  <div class="s-table-container"><table class="s-table">
  <thead>
  <tr>
  <th>Variant</th>
  <th>White wins</th>
  <th>Draws</th>
  <th>Black wins</th>
  <th>White points</th>
  </tr>
  </thead>
  <tbody>
  <tr>
  <td>20k standard games</td>
  <td>24.4 %</td>
  <td>58.1 %</td>
  <td>17.4 %</td>
  <td>0.535</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
  <td>all 960 x 20k games</td>
  <td>27.8 %</td>
  <td>53.7 %</td>
  <td>18.5 %</td>
  <td>0.546</td>
  </tr>
  </tbody>
  </table></div>
  <p>We will redo the calculations with SF17. First tests indicate that, even though we reduce the time per games from 3.75 + 0.0625 seconds to 1.0 + 0.02 seconds, we get much more draws with SF17. I can post the outcome here if someone is interested.</p>
  
Answers.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Answers.CreationDate: 2024-10-24T07:12:05.537Z
Answers.LastActivityDate: 2024-10-24T15:22:12.577Z
Answers.LastEditDate: 2024-10-24T15:22:12.577Z
Answers.UserDisplayName: Christian Stump
Answers.Body: <p>The CCRL 40/4 FRC engine competition that has run through almost 200,000 games running night and day come up with these stats:</p>
  
  <p>Chess960 FRC based off 200,000 or so games:
  White wins: 80'914 (41.6%)
  Black wins: 70'840 (36.5%)
  Draws: 42'546 (21.9%)
  White score: 52.6%
  <a href="http://www.computerchess.org.uk/ccrl/404FRC/rating_list_all.html" rel="noreferrer">http://www.computerchess.org.uk/ccrl/404FRC/rating_list_all.html</a></p>
  
  <p>Standard chess based off 1.4 million games:
  White wins: 547'582 (39.2%)
  Black wins: 447'252 (32.0%)
  Draws: 403'047 (28.8%)
  White score: 53.6%</p>
  
  <p>As you can see, there are significantly fewer draws among the engines and slightly more black wins. These days, the top engines are playing the Chess960 opening fairly well so the stats aren't completely useless. As for top quality human games, there are less than 2000 on the records which is way too small a sample.</p>
  
  <p>A rudimentary case study was carried out to find out if there were any really unfair start positions in Chess960, but none were found. Each of the 960 starts offers players something reasonable. Here is where it was done:
  <a href="http://chess960jungle.blogspot.com.au/search/label/SP%20analysis" rel="noreferrer">http://chess960jungle.blogspot.com.au/search/label/SP%20analysis</a></p>
  
  <p>I can't post more links as references because the site won't let me. The problem with Chess960 right now is that most of it is being played online at blitz time controls which is useless for statistics.</p>
  
Answers.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Answers.CreationDate: 2021-09-01T19:34:53.687Z
Answers.Text: Do you have an answer for 2021? https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/34723/winning-percentage-in-chess960-in-2021
Answers.UserDisplayName: BCLC
Answers.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 3.0
Answers.CreationDate: 2017-01-12T10:54:53.647Z
Answers.LastActivityDate: 2017-01-12T10:54:53.647Z
Answers.UserDisplayName: Harry O
Body: <p>How does the winning percentage (white win/draw/black win) in chess 960 (Fischer random) compare to that of regular chess? Are there more white wins, fewer draws,...?</p>
  
Comments.ContentLicense: CC BY-SA 4.0
Comments.CreationDate: 2021-09-02T23:00:32.037Z
Comments.Text: for anyone with any updates in 2021, please share: https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/34723/winning-percentage-in-chess960-in-2021
Comments.UserDisplayName: BCLC
Tags: <chess-variants><statistics><chess960>
Title: Winning percentage in chess 960
ThreadText: # Winning percentage in chess 960
  
  (Asked by: username_0 on 2017-01-11)
  
  How does the winning percentage (white win/draw/black win) in chess 960 (Fischer random) compare to that of regular chess? Are there more white wins, fewer draws,...?
  
  **Tags:** chess-variants, statistics, chess960
  
  > **Comments:**
  > **username_1**: for anyone with any updates in 2021, please share: https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/34723/winning-percentage-in-chess960-in-2021  
  
  ---
  
  ## 2 answers
  
  ### Answer by username_3 on 2017-01-12. Score: 9 | Accepted answer
  
  The CCRL 40/4 FRC engine competition that has run through almost 200,000 games running night and day come up with these stats:
  
  Chess960 FRC based off 200,000 or so games:
  White wins: 80'914 (41.6%)
  Black wins: 70'840 (36.5%)
  Draws: 42'546 (21.9%)
  White score: 52.6%
  <http://www.computerchess.org.uk/ccrl/404FRC/rating_list_all.html>
  
  Standard chess based off 1.4 million games:
  White wins: 547'582 (39.2%)
  Black wins: 447'252 (32.0%)
  Draws: 403'047 (28.8%)
  White score: 53.6%
  
  As you can see, there are significantly fewer draws among the engines and slightly more black wins. These days, the top engines are playing the Chess960 opening fairly well so the stats aren't completely useless. As for top quality human games, there are less than 2000 on the records which is way too small a sample.
  
  A rudimentary case study was carried out to find out if there were any really unfair start positions in Chess960, but none were found. Each of the 960 starts offers players something reasonable. Here is where it was done:
  <http://chess960jungle.blogspot.com.au/search/label/SP%20analysis>
  
  I can't post more links as references because the site won't let me. The problem with Chess960 right now is that most of it is being played online at blitz time controls which is useless for statistics.
  
  > **Comments:**
  > **username_1**: Do you have an answer for 2021? https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/34723/winning-percentage-in-chess960-in-2021  
  
  ---
  
  ### Answer by username_2 on 2024-10-24. Score: 0
  
  We are currently working on an opening book for all Chess 960 variants: <https://github.com/stumpc5/chess960>.
  The analysis is based on 20k games played per starting position with Stockfish 16 and we list [white/black/draw percentages for each starting position](https://github.com/stumpc5/chess960/blob/main/analysis_overview.md#sorted-by-average-points-for-white).
  
  Here is the outcome on 960 x 20k games with SF16:
  
  | Variant | White wins | Draws | Black wins | White points |
  | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
  | 20k standard games | 24.4 % | 58.1 % | 17.4 % | 0.535 |
  | all 960 x 20k games | 27.8 % | 53.7 % | 18.5 % | 0.546 |
  
  We will redo the calculations with SF17. First tests indicate that, even though we reduce the time per games from 3.75 + 0.0625 seconds to 1.0 + 0.02 seconds, we get much more draws with SF17. I can post the outcome here if someone is interested.
  
  
  ---
  
  