<p>I know the results. Red and Orange properties are places where players most often lands on. Most often visited places are the Jail and the 3rd red property ("<em>Illinois Avenue</em>" in the American version and "<em>Avenue Henri-Martin</em>" in the French version).</p>

<p>I found a table <a href="http://www.monopolypedia.fr/strategie/cases_frequentation.php" rel="nofollow noreferrer">here <strong>(fr)</strong></a>. The table contains the French names so I join a <a href="http://ganja69.free.fr/bb/jan/monopoly.jpg" rel="nofollow noreferrer">french Monopoly board</a> to this answer in order to help people who do not know French names.</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2017-09-05T23:04:36.897Z
Answer edited with a new French Monopoly board.
air-dex
CC BY-SA 3.0
2013-10-16T23:14:01.933Z
2017-09-05T23:04:00.063Z
2017-09-05T23:04:00.063Z
air-dex
<p>Here are the (quite extensive!) results: <a href="http://www.tkcs-collins.com/truman/monopoly/monopoly.shtml">http://www.tkcs-collins.com/truman/monopoly/monopoly.shtml</a></p>

<p>The first part of that page is the long-term probabilities for ending up on a particular square. The last column tells you the ranking: you will end up in Jail most often, Illinois second-most-often, then Go, then the B&amp;O Railroad, etc. This is neat, but you'll need to figure out whether those most-frequently-hit squares are profitable in the short and long term; the next part is about the expected income per roll, and after that is how long it will take you to recoup the cost of things. (Fun fact: buying the third house is the fastest thing to recoup. That doesn't mean you should buy straight to three houses, or that you should stop there; it just means that you'll earn the money-for-the-third-house back fastest.)</p>

<p>The problem with that page is that it doesn't point you to The Best Strategy. Do you want to earn back your initial money fast? Do you want to earn the most money overall, even if you'll have less money in the early game? Do you just take a hedonistic joy in getting people to hand you money, and want that to happen as often as possible? You'll go far by picking up the properties that recoup your costs quickly, but those properties are the light blue and orange properties - they're nicely profitable and quick to set up, but they don't rake in the gobs of money you'll want in the end-game.</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2013-10-16T23:51:55.640Z
2013-10-16T23:51:55.640Z
PotatoEngineer
<p>I highly recommend <a href="http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0060961279" rel="noreferrer">Winning Monopoly</a> if you are interested in such analysis.  As other answers point out, payback period (combining rent amount and frequecy) is key for making winning decisions.  One of the point from this book that I haven't seen else where is determining what version of Monopoly you are playing.  Are you really playing until all others are bankrupt, or is there some (probably unstated) time limit for the game.  Knowing how much longer the game will last is key to putting payback period statistics to use.</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2014-01-16T17:49:52.647Z
2014-01-16T17:49:52.647Z
Lee
<p>I am not sure which particular site you are referencing, but <a href="http://amnesta.net/other/monopoly/" rel="noreferrer">How to Win at Monopoly</a> calculated the Return On Investment (ROI) of all the properties based on the liklihood of landing on them. They concluded that Railroads (especially 4) had the fastest most consistent ROI, followed by a Monopoly with 3 Houses, utilities were the worst ROI.</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2013-10-16T23:51:49.223Z
2013-10-16T23:51:49.223Z
user1873
<p>There are many factors to consider in this question.
The highest likely roll when using 2 dice is seven (6/36 chances, 6,1 5,2 4,3 3,4 2,5 &amp; 6,1) so landing on Park Place is impossible when rolling the highest probability with 2 dice as the seven squares prior to Park Place is the go to jail square.
Getting out of jail for free by rolling doubles can only get you to Electric Company, Virginia avenue, St. James Place, Tennese Avenue, Free parking and chance wich could bring you back 3 spaces to New York Avenue.
Chance cards will send you to Boardwalk, Illinoi, St. Charles, Reading railroad, the nearest railroad and the nearest utility.  If you are keeping track of these cards, you could base some decisions on this.
The chance card, go back 3 spaces will send you to New York avenue one third of the time.</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2018-01-16T19:28:48.677Z
2018-01-16T19:28:48.677Z
Martin Charette
<p>There was a computer simulation run a few years ago for Monopoly which calculated the most likely properties and squares to land on and some other data. Does anyone have or know the stats of the simulation?</p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2013-10-16T23:08:10.880Z
Here is a link to some books with such stats: http://www.amazon.com/The-Monopoly-Book-Strategy-Tactics/dp/0679202927
Tom Au
CC BY-SA 3.0
2013-10-16T23:11:20.703Z
Your title doesn't match your question very well - winning and being likely to land on certain squares are very different things.
Cascabel
<monopoly><statistics>
Statistical Approach to Winning Monopoly
Phil
# Statistical Approach to Winning Monopoly

(Asked by: username_0 on 2013-10-16)

There was a computer simulation run a few years ago for Monopoly which calculated the most likely properties and squares to land on and some other data. Does anyone have or know the stats of the simulation?

**Tags:** monopoly, statistics

> **Comments:**
> **username_1**: Here is a link to some books with such stats: http://www.amazon.com/The-Monopoly-Book-Strategy-Tactics/dp/0679202927  
> **username_2**: Your title doesn't match your question very well - winning and being likely to land on certain squares are very different things.  

---

## 5 answers

### Answer by username_3 on 2013-10-16. Score: 6 | Accepted answer

I know the results. Red and Orange properties are places where players most often lands on. Most often visited places are the Jail and the 3rd red property ("*Illinois Avenue*" in the American version and "*Avenue Henri-Martin*" in the French version).

I found a table [here **(fr)**](http://www.monopolypedia.fr/strategie/cases_frequentation.php). The table contains the French names so I join a [french Monopoly board](http://ganja69.free.fr/bb/jan/monopoly.jpg) to this answer in order to help people who do not know French names.

> **Comments:**
> **username_3**: Answer edited with a new French Monopoly board.  

---

### Answer by username_4 on 2013-10-16. Score: 9

Here are the (quite extensive!) results: <http://www.tkcs-collins.com/truman/monopoly/monopoly.shtml>

The first part of that page is the long-term probabilities for ending up on a particular square. The last column tells you the ranking: you will end up in Jail most often, Illinois second-most-often, then Go, then the B&O Railroad, etc. This is neat, but you'll need to figure out whether those most-frequently-hit squares are profitable in the short and long term; the next part is about the expected income per roll, and after that is how long it will take you to recoup the cost of things. (Fun fact: buying the third house is the fastest thing to recoup. That doesn't mean you should buy straight to three houses, or that you should stop there; it just means that you'll earn the money-for-the-third-house back fastest.)

The problem with that page is that it doesn't point you to The Best Strategy. Do you want to earn back your initial money fast? Do you want to earn the most money overall, even if you'll have less money in the early game? Do you just take a hedonistic joy in getting people to hand you money, and want that to happen as often as possible? You'll go far by picking up the properties that recoup your costs quickly, but those properties are the light blue and orange properties - they're nicely profitable and quick to set up, but they don't rake in the gobs of money you'll want in the end-game.


---

### Answer by username_5 on 2014-01-16. Score: 6

I highly recommend [Winning Monopoly](http://rads.stackoverflow.com/amzn/click/0060961279) if you are interested in such analysis. As other answers point out, payback period (combining rent amount and frequecy) is key for making winning decisions. One of the point from this book that I haven't seen else where is determining what version of Monopoly you are playing. Are you really playing until all others are bankrupt, or is there some (probably unstated) time limit for the game. Knowing how much longer the game will last is key to putting payback period statistics to use.


---

### Answer by username_6 on 2013-10-16. Score: 5

I am not sure which particular site you are referencing, but [How to Win at Monopoly](http://amnesta.net/other/monopoly/) calculated the Return On Investment (ROI) of all the properties based on the liklihood of landing on them. They concluded that Railroads (especially 4) had the fastest most consistent ROI, followed by a Monopoly with 3 Houses, utilities were the worst ROI.


---

### Answer by username_7 on 2018-01-16. Score: 0

There are many factors to consider in this question.
The highest likely roll when using 2 dice is seven (6/36 chances, 6,1 5,2 4,3 3,4 2,5 & 6,1) so landing on Park Place is impossible when rolling the highest probability with 2 dice as the seven squares prior to Park Place is the go to jail square.
Getting out of jail for free by rolling doubles can only get you to Electric Company, Virginia avenue, St. James Place, Tennese Avenue, Free parking and chance wich could bring you back 3 spaces to New York Avenue.
Chance cards will send you to Boardwalk, Illinoi, St. Charles, Reading railroad, the nearest railroad and the nearest utility. If you are keeping track of these cards, you could base some decisions on this.
The chance card, go back 3 spaces will send you to New York avenue one third of the time.


---

