It is pretty clear by now that an extraordinarily benevolent external environment, not a revolutionary policy shift, underpinned Latin America’s rapid growth in the years following the 2008-2009 global economic crisis. As long as the price of soy, wheat, copper, oil, and other raw materials remained stratospheric, commodity-rich countries like Brazil, Chile, and Peru got a tremendous boost; even Argentina grew rapidly, despite terrible economic policies.
如今，显而易见的是，2008—2009年全球经济危机之后几年中拉美的快速增长并非来自革命性的政策变化，而是来自极为有利的外部环境。只要大豆、小麦、铜、石油和其他原材料价格居高不下，巴西、智利和秘鲁等商品富裕国就能得到很大的提振；甚至经济政策十分糟糕的阿根廷增长也十分迅速。