The Siniora government and the opposition are likely to reach a compromise within the next few months, probably on the basis of some variant of Arab League proposals. The tougher challenge is to solve the Gordian knot that binds Hezbollah (and the issue of its disarmament), Syria, and Israel together in a fateful triangle.
然而，西方对黎巴嫩政策的真正挑战既不是宪法改革，也不是哈里里案仲裁庭的建立。Siniora政府和反对派之间在未来几个月内很可能会达成一项妥协。其基础很可能是某些变相的阿拉伯联盟提案。更艰巨的挑战是解决将真主党（以及解除武装问题）、叙利亚和以色列之间剪不断，理还乱的三角关系。