Like other humans, social scientists are prone to over-confidence in their preferred model of the day. They tend to exaggerate the support for the model and discount new evidence that contradicts it – a phenomenon known as “confirmation bias.”
正如其他人一样，社会科学家倾向于过度信任他们偏爱的模型。他们往往会夸大那些证明该模型的因素同时贬低那些与模型相抵触的新证据——这种现象叫做“证实性偏见”。