He believes that the security agreement with the US could be a useful bargaining chip in such negotiations. But this view fails to account for the potential consequences of a premature withdrawal of US and NATO forces, including diminished morale among Afghan forces and renewed hope among the Taliban that they will be able to retake control of the country relatively soon.
卡尔扎伊不肯让步的根源是他渴望开启政府和阿富汗塔利班之间的和平进程——就像巴基斯坦和巴基斯坦塔利班那样。他认为与美国的安全协议是这一谈判的有用的讨价还价筹码。但这一观点并能解释操之过急的美国和北约撤军的潜在后果，包括阿富汗军队士气低落和塔利班重燃可以在相对较短时间内重新控制阿富汗的希望。