Simulations by the International Monetary Fund suggest that a decline in global growth of 1.5 percentage points could, owing to its impact on trade and financial flows, generate a $27 billion gap in additional external financing in 2012 alone. That would also push 23 million more people – most of them in Sub-Saharan Africa and Asia – into poverty.
因此，新的全球减速将极大地冲击低收入国家。IMF的模拟测试结果表明，全球增长率下降1.5个百分点将通过其对贸易和金融流的影响，光是在2012年就将造成270亿美元的外部融资缺口。这将使2300万人（其中大部分居住在非洲撒哈拉以南和亚洲地区）陷入贫困。