LONDON – Bank of England Governor Mark Carney surprised his audience at a conference late last year by speculating that banking assets in London could grow to more than nine times Britain’s GDP by 2050. His forecast represented a simple extrapolation of two trends: continued financial deepening worldwide (that is, faster growth of financial assets than of the real economy), and London’s maintenance of its share of the global financial business.
伦敦—英格兰银行行长马克·卡尼（Mark Carney）在去年年底的一次会议上预测伦敦银行资产将在2050年超过英国GDP的九倍，这番话令世界震惊。他的预测只不过是两大趋势的外推：全球范围的持续金融深化（即金融资产增长快于实体经济）以及伦敦保持在全球金融业务中的份额。