Despite frantic efforts by the US and the European Union to find some compromise that would head off a UN vote by kick-starting real negotiations, it is much more probable that, even after a US veto in the Security Council, an early UN General Assembly vote will deliver a strong majority for observer-state status. The question for Israel and its friends to address is what the downside risks of that outcome really are, and to calibrate their reaction accordingly.
美国和欧盟为了寻找快速启动实质谈判，从而阻止巴勒斯坦动议拿到联合国去表决的妥协而忙得手忙脚乱，但更有可能的事情是，即使美国在安理会投了否决票，联合国大会的掀起投票也会以压到多数通过授予巴勒斯坦观察员国地位的决议。以色列及其盟友所要解决的问题是，这一结果到底有什么不利影响，并据此决定如何反应。