Let’s be hyper-optimistic and suppose that structural reforms enable Greece to double its potential income over three years – pushing Greek per capita GDP significantly beyond the European Union average. Applying convergence math, this would produce an annual growth boost of only about 1.3%, on average, over the next three years.
这一估计有助于我们测算可以从结构改革中期待多大程度的增长。不妨假设非常乐观，认为结构改革可以让希腊潜在收入三年翻一番——让希腊人均GDP大大超过欧盟平均水平。用收敛算术，这带来的未来三年增长提振平均每年只有1.3%左右。要正确评价这个数字，必须记住2009年以来希腊GDP减少了25%。