They could easily imitate the North Vietnamese strategy of professing to accept a compromise peace settlement in order to secure a foreign military withdrawal. They then could resume offensive operations against the still weak Afghan Security Forces, which have yet to demonstrate much military effectiveness.
即使塔利班领导人愿意展开和谈，我们也难以揣摸他们的真正居心。为了促使外国军事力量撤离，他们很可能会模仿越南内战中北越的战略，声称会接受协商和平解决方案。而一旦外国部队撤离，他们就可能重新开始攻击实力薄弱的阿富汗安全部队——这支部队目前还未能展现出多少作战能力。