Nonetheless, what will really drive the renminbi’s continued rise will not be the SDR (though it will help), but China’s own long-term economic performance. Indeed, as Arvind Subramanian has argued, China’s share of global GDP and trade is what makes the renminbi likely to become a global reserve currency.
尽管又这些挑战，但中国领导人认为，从长期看，人民币纳入SDR篮子有助于人民币的稳步升值，并且可以充当某种形式的信誉证明从而支持其继续国际化。也许他们是对的。尽管如此，真正驱动人民币继续升值的不会是SDR（尽管它能起到助推作用），而是中国自身的长期经济表现。事实上，阿文德·萨布拉曼尼安（Arvind Subramanian）指出，中国GDP和贸易占世界之比才是让人民可能成为全球储备货币的因素。