However hegemonic Hezbollah may now seem, its power in Lebanon depends heavily on the support of the Assad regime. Should Assad fall, and the Sunni-led opposition rise to power, the ensuing balance of power in Syria is bound to reshape the balance of power in Lebanon.
黎巴嫩是难逃叙利亚局势影响的多民族国家。溢出效应已经显现：逊尼派和阿拉维派武装已经发生了冲突。尽管真主党目前仍支配着局面，但其在黎巴嫩的实力严重依赖于巴沙尔政权。若巴沙尔倒台而逊尼派领导的反对派掌权，则叙利亚的新实力平衡必将改写黎巴嫩的实力平衡。