In fact, if one were to imagine reasons why Germany might not approve a request by Italy to trigger the OMT, political turmoil would top the list. By contrast, triggering the OMT in advance would promote political stability in the face of uncertainty, because it would tie the hands of any future Italian government.
确定的是，以职业喜剧演员格里洛（Beppe Grillo）为首的反欧元政党至少将在意大利大选中赢得20%的选票。这可能引发政治动荡，不利于寻求德国的帮助。事实上，如果你思考一下德国不批准意大利触发OMT的要求的原因，那么政治乱象肯定是首先冒出来的内容。相反，提前触发OMT将增加面临不确定性时的政治稳定性，因为这能够束缚未来意大利政府的手脚。