Should Russia recognize Abkhazia’s independence, Saakashvili might be tempted to respond militarily to prevent his country from unraveling. Renewed conflict in Abkhazia would not only bring the risk of open warfare with Russia, but strain relations with Armenia, as there are near to 50,000 Armenians in Abkhazia who support the breakaway government.
如果俄罗斯承认Abkhazia独立，Saakashvili可能会试图以军事手段回应以防止他的国家分裂。Abkhazia重燃的冲突不仅可能带来与俄罗斯开战的风险，还会造成与亚美尼亚的关系紧张。因为在Abkhazia有近5万支持分离主义政府的亚美尼亚族人。