In a recent paper, my colleagues and I showed that such an approach to economic development actually works. In a particular city or country, you can predict, even a decade in advance, which industries will appear or disappear or grow or wane just by knowing the history of what has been there and everywhere else.
在一片最近的论文中，我的同事和我指出，这样的经济发展方针确实是可行的。在特定的诚实或国家，你可以预测哪些产业会出现、消失、成长、衰落，只要你知道那里和其他地区曾经发生过什么，预测时间可以达到十年。