There is no reason to doubt that the member states will follow through and adopt national rules by the end of the year. The problem is what comes after that: the risk that the fiscal compact will founder on precisely the same shoals as the SGP.
此举的目的是为了解决欧洲的长期财政问题，且该财政问题已在以下三个因素的作用下加速恶化：自欧元诞生后覆盖欧元区的《稳定与增长公约》已经无法有效实施赤字与债务限制；2010年在希腊和一些欧元区外围国家爆发的经济危机；以及随后的各种救助行动。毫无疑问，在年底之前各成员国都会跟进并颁布实施相关国家规定。而问题在于随后发生的事情：财政契约的失败风险其实和《稳定与增长公约》是同样大的。