While the race is not over, Nicolas Sarkozy has emerged as the consistent favorite in the polls, as well as of those who declared “him” nearly defeated in early December. The new consensus can be described as follows: Ségolène Royal cannot defeat Nicolas Sarkozy, but Sarkozy can defeat himself.
两个月前，巴黎的政治圈中人士还一致认为总统大选胜负难料，但是罗雅尔女士明显受到青睐。但是今天，情况看起来恰恰相反。尽管大选还没有结束，萨尔科奇已经稳居为民意调查中的宠儿，连那些在十二月初宣布他基本落选的人也是如此。新的共识基本可以概括如下：罗雅尔无法击败萨尔科奇，但是萨尔科奇却会败在自己手下。