Central to the world’s concerns about the region is the complex reality of the two Taliban movements – one in Afghanistan, over which Pakistan’s powerful Directorate for Inter-Services Intelligence has a great deal of control, and one in Pakistan itself, which is waging an increasingly vicious guerrilla war against the Pakistani government. With the United States and NATO due to withdraw all troops from Afghanistan by the end of 2014, there is a real possibility that the Taliban will not only regain power there, but will also turn Pakistan into a truly failed state.
全世界对该区域的关注核心就是两场塔利班运动的复杂现实——一个在阿富汗，很大程度上由势力强大的巴基斯坦三军情报局控制着；还有一个是在巴基斯坦国内，正在资助一场日益邪恶的旨在反对巴基斯坦政府的游击战争。由于美国和北约已经决定在2014年末前将所有部队撤离阿富汗，很可能塔利班不但会重新夺回权力，还会将巴基斯坦变成一个真正的失败国家。