Krueger’s analysis indicates that the rate of inflation begins to increase when the short-term unemployment rate falls to 4-4.5%. With short-term unemployment currently at 4.2%, the inflation rate is indeed rising, and Krueger’s research suggests that it will increase further in the months ahead.
克鲁格的分析表明，通胀率在短期失业率降至4—5.5%时开始上升。目前短期失业率为4.2%，通胀率也确实在上升，克鲁格的研究认为它在未来几个月中还会进一步上升。