The answer to the second major question shaping the world’s future – whether China will regain its economic momentum – also appears to be “no,” at least in the short term, with most experts agreeing that China’s export- and investment-led growth model has all but exhausted its potential. Indeed, China cannot continue to rely on manufacturing exports when its major sources of demand – the US and Europe – are struggling and its labor costs are rising.
第二个决定世界未来的问题是中国是否能够重新获得经济动力。对这个问题的回答似乎也是“否”，至少在短期是如此，因为大部分专家都同意，中国出口和投资导向的增长模式已经耗尽了潜力。事实上，在其主要需求源——美国和欧洲——萎靡不振、其自身劳动力成本开始上升的情况下，中国无法继续依赖制造业出口。