The probability of Iraqi elections being held this coming January must be lower than 50%, and we can be certain that these will not be free and fair elections throughout the entire country. Indeed, Iraq no longer deserves to be described as a united country.
明年1月伊拉克大选的可能性肯定到不了50%，而且我们可以认定，这绝不会是自由、公正的全国性大选。实际上，伊拉克已经算不上是个统一的国家。如今世界上失控的国家越来越多，现在又加上个伊拉克，即便人们拿出最乐观的估计，也只能是由三个州组成的潜在的联邦，再加上个谁都管不了的城市巴格达。