While the IMF’s primary scenario is that Irish and Portuguese debt levels will soon stop rising, it comes with a chilling litany of downside risks. The likelihood that budget deficit and debt targets will be missed is rising.
潜在后果相当严重。IMF眼中的最可能情景是爱尔兰和葡萄牙债务水平很快就会停止上升，但严重的下行风险远未消除。预算赤字和债务目标无法达到的可能性在上升。