So far, the downside and upside risks for the world economy are balanced. But if sound government policies in advanced and major emerging economies contain the downside risks that are more prevalent in the first half of this year – which derive from political and policy uncertainty – a more resilient global economic recovery could take hold in the second half of 2011 and into 2012.
迄今为止，世界经济的下行风险和上升机遇正处于某种平衡状态。但如果能提前制定明智的政治政策，而那些主要新兴经济体也能控制那些更可能在今年上半年出现的下行风险——这可能由政治或者政策上的不确定性产生——更有活力的全球经济复苏将在2011年下半年出现，并持续到2012年。