Others, including me, argued that, given the excesses of private-sector leverage (in households, financial institutions, and corporate firms), this would be a U-shaped recession – long and deep. It would last about 24 months, and the world would not decouple from the US contraction.
美国乃至全球的经济正在驶向何方？去年有两个不同的观点。一种观点认为，此次危机是V型——时间短，程度浅。时间大概仅仅持续8个月。就像1990-1991年和2001年发生的两次危机那样。世界经济不会受到美国衰退的影响。