The past two months’ run-up to the austerity bomb’s detonation has already reduced projected real GDP growth in 2013 from 3% to 2.5%, and has raised likely end-2013 unemployment from 7.5% to 7.7%. Each day from January 1 to June 30 that the damage continues will have a roughly linear impact on economic performance in 2013, reducing the likely full-year real GDP growth rate by 0.0084% – and only if a deal is ultimately reached that would have caused no economic harm in 2013 had it been reached on November 10, 2012.
紧缩炸弹爆炸前两个月的准备阶段，2013年实际国内生产总值预期增长已经从3%降至2.5%，2013年底预期失业率也从7.5%增加到7.7%。2013年1月1日至6月30日的每一个日夜都会对经济表现造成大致线性的影响，导致可能的全年实际国内生产总值增速下降0.0084%——只有在2012年11月10日前最终达成一致才不会损害2013年的经济发展。如果到6月30日还未达成一致，美国2013年实际国内生产总值增长率将有可能降至负0.5%，而失业率有可能重新升至8.9%。