With the Kurds and their candidates excluded from the parliament, the AKP would have to do only slightly better than polls are predicting to maintain its political dominance. If the party is able to secure more than 45% of the national vote, the quirks in Turkey’s electoral law will give it more than 330 representatives in the country’s 550-seat legislature.
人民民主党达不到10%的议会门槛将启动全面的国内政治体制改革。如果库尔德人及其候选人被排除在议会之外，正义与发展党只需表现略好于民调就能继续主导国内的政治生活。如果该党能获得45%以上的国内选票，那么依据土耳其选举法的奇怪规定，就能在550个议会席位中拥有代表超过330个。