Although the Islamists are unlikely to interfere in the post-Arafat power struggle, they will not sit idly by if the new leadership moves in what they consider the wrong direction. Of course, the new leadership will have to reach some agreement with the Islamists regarding the rules of the game, both domestically and vis-à-vis Israel.
尽管权力斗争大多会发生在民族主义阵营内部，但哈马斯和伊斯兰圣战组织领导的伊斯兰阵营也不可小视。尽管伊斯兰教徒不太可能卷入后阿拉法特时代的权力斗争，但如果新领袖在他们看来犯了方向性的错误，那他们也绝不会坐视不管。当然，新的领导人要在游戏规则上与伊斯兰份子达成一致，国内事务和巴以问题都不能例外。如果没有这样的协议，如果新领袖对伊斯兰教徒进行大规模镇压，那么就会引发全面内战。