Although I have been attending the CDF’s meetings for more than a decade, I found this year’s conference substantially different from any in the past. The key difference was the official Chinese recognition that annual real GDP growth has declined permanently from the past three decades’ average rate of nearly 10%.
十多年来，我一直出席发展中国论坛会议，但我发现今年的会议与以往大不相同。关键区别在于中国官方承认了年实际GDP增长永久性地从过去三十年来近10%的平均水平有所下降。2014年官方估算实际GDP增长为7.4%，今年可能还会进一步降低到7%。发展研究中心所展示的详细估算表明增长率将继续下降，到这个十年的末尾达到6%左右。