But his victory would be less secure, as it would lead to a second Cold War that Russia would lose, just as the Soviet Union lost the first. Putin’s Russia needs oil at $100 a barrel and will start running out of currency reserves in 2-3 years.
对普京来说，这一结果与完全崩溃一样令人满意。但他的胜利将不再那么笃定，并且这将导致俄罗斯会输的第二次冷战，就像苏联输掉第一次冷战那样。普京的俄罗斯需要油价保持100美元／桶，其货币储备将在２—３年内开始告罄。