If his position on the Islamic State continues to waver, he will only alienate the Kurds further, which means that when the jihadists decide to encroach on Turkish territory, Turkey will have to confront them without a Kurdish alliance. But if he decides to support the Kurds in their fight against the Islamic State, he will undoubtedly enhance their national aspirations.
如今，埃尔多安陷入了战略沼泽。如果他在伊斯兰国问题上的立场继续摇摆，将导致库尔德人的进一步离心离德，而这意味着当圣战主义者决定进犯土耳其领土时，土耳其将得不到库尔德人的支持。但如果他决定支持库尔德人与伊斯兰国战斗，又不然会主张库尔德人的民族雄心。