This looming global recession is being fed by several factors: the collapse of housing bubbles in the US, United Kingdom, Spain, Ireland and other euro-zone members; punctured credit bubbles where money and credit was too easy for too long; the severe credit and liquidity crunch following the US mortgage crisis; the negative wealth and investment effects of falling stock markets (already down by more than 20% globally); the global effects via trade links of the recession in the US (which still counts for about 30% of global GDP); the US dollar’s weakness, which reduces American trading partners’ competitiveness; and the stagflationary effects of high oil and commodity prices, which are forcing central banks to increase interest rates to fight inflation at a time when there are severe downside risks to growth and financial stability.
以下的一些因素导致了迫近的全球衰退：美国，英国，西班牙，爱尔兰以及其他欧元区成员国内房地产泡沫的破灭；长期宽松的货币和信贷政策导致的信贷泡沫被刺破；美国次贷危机后严重的信贷和流动性紧缩；不断下跌的股票市场（全球平均已经下跌超过20%）带来的负面财富和投资效应；通过贸易和美国（美国仍然大约占全球GDP的30%）衰退相连的全球效应；降低了美国的贸易伙伴的竞争力的美元的弱势；迫使各国中央银行在增长和金融稳定有严重下行风险的时候，提高利率来抵御通货膨胀的高油价和高商品价格带来的滞胀效应。