Consider the French Revolution, which began in 1789. Who would have predicted that within a decade, an obscure Corsican soldier would lead French armies to the banks of the Nile, or that the Napoleonic Wars would disrupt Europe until 1815?
就拿1789年爆发的法国大革命来说吧。谁会预测在不到十年的时间里，一位名不见经传的科西嘉士兵会率领法军来到尼罗河沿岸，或是拿破仑战争会横扫欧洲，直到1815年才结束？