The diplomatic protocols awaiting ratification by the two countries’ parliaments have fallen victim to miscalculations on both sides. The Armenians came to believe that Turkey would find a way to reconcile Azerbaijan’s interests with the Turkish opening to Armenia, and would open the border with Armenia regardless of progress on resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh issue.
眼下，这两种因素都已发生了变化：关于两国在军事方面势均力敌的认知已不复存在，随着阿塞拜疆近年来在军备方面投入重金，该国如今或已相信军事优势正为自己所掌握；与此同时，似乎陷入僵局的谈判，其成功希望正日渐渺茫，这主要是由于人们将谈判与亚美尼亚 - 土耳其关系正常化进程挂上了钩，而后者的前景看来同样暗淡。