Wars account for dramatic shifts in voter preferences, and radical leaders and parties often poll much higher after a round of sharp violence than in normal times. Minority ethnic groups are therefore often able to sway the balance of power between major competing forces.
战争和暴力总是对选举产生直接影响。战争导致选民倾向的巨大转变，而在剧烈暴力后，激进的领导人和政党得票经常要比平时高出许多。因此，少数族裔团体经常可以在主要竞争势力之间左右平衡。