Greece is currently too interconnected to be allowed to collapse: since it has about $400 billion of public debt – three-quarters of which is held abroad, mostly by European financial institutions – a disorderly default would lead to massive losses and risk a systemic crisis. Moreover, the contagion to the sovereign spreads of the other PIIGS would be massive, tipping over several of these economies.
希腊破产的后果不堪设想，它牵涉了太多的利益：约4000亿美元的公债，三分之一由外国债权人持有，其中主要是欧洲的金融机构——如果出现失控性违约，将导致巨额损失，引发系统性风险。此外，它对其他“欧猪国家”国债息差的传导效应非常明显，已经让好几个国家如坐针毡了。