Either scenario would greatly aggravate Europe’s crisis: soaring oil costs or another US recession would harm even the strong northern European economies, to say nothing of the already-depressed countries in Europe’s south. But, even then, the humanitarian consequences – especially in the case of another Middle East war – would most likely overshadow these scenarios’ impact on the European crisis.
不管发生那个情景，欧洲危机都会被放大：石油成本高企或新的美国衰退将伤害到哪怕是最坚挺的北欧经济体，更不用说已经陷入泥淖的南欧国家了。但是，即便如此，人道主义后果——特别是在爆发新的中东战争的情况下——仍极有可能压倒这两大前景对欧洲危机的影响。