The economist Nouriel Roubini has predicted that China’s economy will most likely slow sometime between 2013 and 2015, the point at which its fixed-asset investments of nearly 50% of GDP will demand social and monetary returns. Until now, says Roubini, China’s export-led growth has depended on “making things that the rest of the world wants, at a price that no other country can match,” a consequence of cheap labor and economies of scale.
经济学家纽里埃·鲁比尼预测中国的增长将在2013至2015年间放缓，依据是该国占GDP近50%的固定资产投资需要收取社会和经济回报。鲁比尼认为，目前为止中国的出口导向型增长都依赖于“以世界其他地方无法比拟的价格，生产世界其他地方需要的东西”这一原则，而这也是廉价劳动力和世界经济产业链所催生的结果，但这种成本优势也正在迅速消失。