One piece of bubble wisdom that has escaped relatively unscathed, however, is the assumption that the “BRIC” countries – Brazil, Russia, India, and China – will increasingly call the economic tune in years to come. The BRIC notion, coined in a 2003 Goldman Sachs report, is not all bad: at 75% correct, it scores a good deal better than most economic prognostications of the day.
传统的智慧很难应对一个设计良好的压力测试。在过去的24个月中，很少有这样的压力测试像全球经济经历了那次危机那样难以对付。现在，一缕新的曙光正在刚刚出现，伴随着一些新理论的出现，这些理论包括晦涩的市场价格论，美国消费者不可动摇的地位轮，或是称为放松监管论等。