Data from the US – rising unemployment, falling household consumption, still declining industrial production, and a weak housing market – suggest that America’s recession is not over yet. A similar analysis of many other advanced economies suggests that, as in the US, the bottom is quite close but it has not yet been reached.
如今在经济界似乎有这么一种共识，大家都认为衰退已经过去。美国乃至全球的经济将迅速复苏，不会再出现反复。不幸的是，这种共识同样是错误的，就像过去三年那种V型的观点那样。