Imagine your job as a media executive depends on expanding your viewing audience. Whom would you pick: an expert who balances conflicting arguments and concludes that the likeliest outcome is more of the same, or an expert who gets viewers on the edge of their seats over radical Islamists seizing control and causing oil prices to soar?
如果你是媒体管理者，你的工作就是吸引更多观众，那么想一想你会选择谁：是一个平衡不同观点、认为最可能的结果都大体类似的专家，还是一位声称伊斯兰教徒会控制一切、造成油价飞涨的让观众坐都坐不稳的刺猬型人物？