In sum, the Iraqi government may appear effective for much of 2006, but it will be committed to trying to serve the competing interests of sharply divided constituencies. The central government’s weakness, continued insurgent violence, growing Iranian influence in Baghdad and with Shiite powerbrokers in the south, and the natural progression of sectarian politics suggest that the new Iraq will be markedly less stable as the year draws to a close.
总而言之，伊拉克政府表面上可能在2006年的大部分时候都发挥着作用，但是它要服务的是泾渭分明的选民之间相互对立的利益。中央政府的虚弱、持续的暴力叛乱、伊朗对巴格达和南部什叶派权力玩家越来越大的影响力、以及宗派主义政治的自然发展都暗示，随着这一年渐渐过去，新的伊拉克将明显地越来越不稳定。