However, China’s large size and low per capita income and capital stock imply continued rapid growth in its demand for commodities. Thanks to supply constraints, China’s import bill for commodities and metals is likely to offset its processing-trade surplus in the near future.
最后，中国贸易条件恶化在未来降低贸易盈余上将扮演一个更基本的角色。鉴于出口需求疲软且可能长期持续，中国出口商必须接受不断下降的利润以保持市场份额。然而，中国辽阔的面积，较低的人均收入和股本也意味着中国对大宗商品的需求会持续快速增长。得益于供应短缺，中国的大宗商品和金属进口金额在不远的将来有可能会抵消其加工贸易盈余。