I concluded that there was a fair chance that oil prices were peaking and that before too long spot prices would reverse and start to decline. I thought it was probably the beginning of a move back down to $80 per barrel – precisely where the price has landed at the end of 2014.
我推断最大的可能性是石油价格达到顶峰，不久现货价格将会逆转，然后开始下跌。我想这可能是回落到每桶80美元的开始，而2014年底正是这个价格。现货价格最近甚至下滑到低于这一水平。这是我的比较准的预测之一。