But this investment rate is likely to decline sharply over the next 5-10 years, because the country already boasts new infrastructure, has excess manufacturing capacity in many sectors, and is trying to shift economic activity to services – which require less investment. Moreover, China’s rapidly aging population and declining working-age population will reduce long-term investment demand.
中国主宰着全球投资，这是因为其10.5万亿规模的经济有近一半用于储蓄和投资。但这一投资率有可能在未来5&mdash;10年中大幅下降，因为中国已开始以新基础设施为荣，许多部门的制造产能出现了过剩，并且正在试图将经济活动转向服务业&mdash;&mdash;服务业的投资要求较低。此外，中国人口的快速老化一级级工作年龄人口的下降也将减少长期投资需求。