The behavior of currency markets has repeatedly confounded and even bankrupted sophisticated investors. With so much currently staked on the market moving in one direction, it is worth contemplating the consequences if this happens again in 2015.
货币预测不啻瞎猜。一年期的汇率波动并不会按照理论模型进行。货币市场的行为一再令老谋深算的投资者大跌眼镜甚至破产。如今，太多赌注都押在一个方向上，有必要思考一下这一幕在2015年重演会发生什么。