The chance of a military incident involving China and one of its neighbors – be it Japan, the Philippines, or Vietnam – cannot be ignored, and it remains to be seen whether the region’s diplomatic circuits can carry the load. New leadership in many of the region’s countries, including China, Japan, and South Korea, make the future even more uncertain.
最后，亚太地区摩擦非但不可能减少，而且极有可能增加。我们不能忽视中国与某邻国（无论是日本、菲律宾还是越南）发生军事摩擦的概率，亚太地区外交是否能够承载这样的重压还有待观察。中、日、韩等国众多新领导人上任让未来更加变幻莫测。