There are several reasons for this regulatory failure, including the inability to acquire and process all relevant data, the political difficulty of enforcing strict judgments, and the difficulty of modeling tail risks. Consequently, relying on low failure probabilities, national policies, the caution of private actors, and monitoring by regulators seems to be insufficient to prevent catastrophe.
造成这一监管失败的原因很多，包括无法获取并查验所有相关数据，在实施更严格监管方面所遇到的政治阻挠，以及用模型评估尾部风险方面的困难。结果国家政策，私人部门的自我监察，以及监管机构的监管三者似乎都不足以防止大灾难的发生，只能在低事故概率下过一天算一天。但问题是，我们对此究竟应当做些什么呢？