So the end of this severe global recession will be closer at the end of this year than it is now, the recovery will be anemic rather than robust in advanced economies, and there is a rising risk of a double-dip recession. The recent market rallies in stocks, commodities, and credit may have gotten ahead of the improvement in the real economy.
如此说来，全球萧条目前还没有结束，预计可能到今年年底有所好转。对于发达国家而言，复苏的速度是缓慢的，而且危机很有可能再次发生。目前，股市，商品市场和信贷市场的复苏可能比实体经济好一些。如果这样的话，全球经济的复苏就为期不远了。