It seems to me that the odds are around 60% that real negotiation will not begin until tax rates go up on January 1. And it seems to me that, if gridlock continues into 2013, the odds are 60% that it will tip the US back into recession.
对我来说，有60%的可能，真正的谈判在明年1月1日税率提高之前是不会发生的。对我来说，如果政治僵局持续到2013年，美国有60%的可能因此重陷衰退。但愿是我目光短浅。