To me, attempting to discern the economic prospects for 2011 is not a particularly interesting question: the answer is bleak, with little upside potential and a lot of downside risk. More importantly, how long will it take Europe and America to recover, and can Asia’s seemingly export-dependent economies continue to grow if their historical markets languish?
对于我本人来说，预测2011年的经济并不是个特别有趣的问题：答案必定是黯淡的，既难寻上升之潜力，又充斥着下滑的风险。更重要的是，欧美究竟要花费多少时间才能复苏，而当这些传统出口目的地一蹶不振之时，亚洲的出口导向型经济又能增长多久？