Queen Elizabeth II asked economists during a visit to the London School of Economics at the end of 2008. Four years later, the repeated failure of economic forecasters to predict the depth and duration of the slump would have elicited a similar question from the queen: Why the overestimate of recovery?
发自伦敦——“为何没人预料到危机降临？”2008年底，英女王伊丽莎白二世到访伦敦经济学院时曾向经济学家们提出这样一个问题。时隔四年，经济预测者在衰退深度以及持续时间上的持续失准又让人们不禁跟女王一样发问：为何会高估了经济复苏？