Foreign military intervention can effect regime change, but it evidently cannot reestablish order based on centralized government. Iraq has been partitioned in all but name into Shia, Sunni, and Kurdish regions, while Libya seems headed toward a similar tripartite, tribal-based territorial arrangement.
外国军事干预可以改朝换代，但显然不能重建中央政府控制的国内秩序。伊拉克除名义外已分成什叶、逊尼和库尔德三块区域，而利比亚似乎也正走向类似的三方部落领土安排。同样，像伊拉克那样的“软性”分裂或许是阿富汗可能面临的最佳结果。