Although it is sometimes difficult to distinguish the drivers of displacement, data from the United Nations refugee agency show that at least half of those trying to reach Europe from North Africa are fleeing from war and persecution. The International Organization for Migration, together with Italy’s navy, has determined that this year’s migrants hail mainly from Eritrea, Gambia, Nigeria, Somalia, and Syria ‒ countries where conditions entitle their citizens to request asylum.
但民粹主义论调不但具有煽动性；它根本是无中生有。尽管有时难以区分流离失所的原因，但联合国难民署的数据的数据表明，至少一半试图从北非来到欧洲的人是为了逃避战火和迫害。国际移民组织（International Organization for Migration）与意大利海军的合作研究表明，今年的移民主要来自厄立特里亚、冈比亚、尼日利亚、索马里和叙利亚——这些国家的状况足以让其公民获得庇护身份。