Since that speech, the frequency of strikes in Yemen and Pakistan has declined, but civilian casualties have continued, albeit at a lower rate. The “near-certainty” standard appears not to have been met.
自这次演讲以来，也门和巴基斯坦的空袭频率降低了，但平民伤亡仍在发生，尽管比率有所减小。“几乎确定”标准似乎并没有达到。