In 2011, the US faces a likely double dip in the housing market, high unemployment and weak job creation, a persistent credit crunch, gaping budgetary holes at the state and local level, and steeper borrowing costs as a result of the federal government’s lack of fiscal consolidation. Moreover, credit growth on both sides of the Atlantic will be restrained, as many financial institutions in the US and Europe maintain a risk-averse stance toward lending.
而美国则代表了全球增长的另一个下行风险。2011年的美国将可能遭遇住宅市场二次探底、高失业率新增职位不足、长期信用恐慌、各州和地方政府预算缺口增大，以及由于联邦政府财政状况不够稳定而导致的借贷成本急升。此外由于金融机构更倾向于规避风险，所以欧美两地的信贷增长将十分有限。