But, as we have seen elsewhere in the region, it will prove far more difficult to put something benign and effective in its place. Civil war along sectarian lines could well predominate, or fighting between the various anti-Assad opposition groups could erupt.
相反，叙利亚总统巴沙尔·阿萨德的政权很可能在今年年底前被赶下台。但就像我们在该地区其他国家所看到的那样，事实证明建立起良性有效的制度要困难得多。教派内战可能成为主旋律，不同的反阿萨德团体之间也可能爆发战争。巴林和约旦也切实存在着剧变的可能性。