Yet, at least in the medium term, that presence implies a significant risk of inciting a global confrontation between China and the US. Moreover, Russia – which extends to East Asia, but, owing to its economic and political weakness, has been a background player there – would certainly seek to benefit from this development.
东亚的地区势力之间几乎无多边框架可言，其状态就像是19世纪末的欧洲。幸好有美国的军事和政治部署保证着地区稳定。但是，至少是在中期，这样的部署隐含着引发中美之间全球冲突的大风险。此外，俄罗斯——它正在向东亚扩大影响，但囿于其经济和政治弱势，一直只是二流东亚势力——肯定也会寻求在如此发展态势中获利。