One obvious possibility today would be a disruptive breakup of the European Monetary Union. In that case, both China and India, like most of the world’s economies, could find themselves in serious difficulty – with an outright contraction of Chinese exports, as in late 2008 and early 2009, and heightened external funding pressures for India.
今天，欧洲货币联盟破坏性解体的可能性是切实存在的。如果这种情况真的发生，中印两国和绝大多数世界经济体可能将面临严重的困难——像2008年末及2009年初那样导致中国出口骤然减少和印度外部融资压力骤然增加。