Personally, I would probably err on the side of waiting longer and accept the very high risk that, when inflation does rise, it will do so briskly, requiring a steeper path of interest-rate hikes later. But if the Fed goes that route, it needs to say clearly that it is deliberately risking an inflation overshoot.
就个人而言，我可能会倾向于等待时间较长的一方，并接受如果通胀最终上升，它会迅速行动，以一个陡峭曲线大幅加息的极高风险。但如果美联储最终走上了这条路线，就需要向外界表明这是有意识地冒着通胀飙升的风险来运作。而等待所产生的问题是我们真的不知道均衡实际（去除通胀因素）政策利率现在究竟是多少，正因如此，在行动之前需要一个价格增长的明确信号。