The closest thing, in some ways, to the China Model is nineteenth-century Germany, with its industrial strength, its cultivated but politically neutered middle class, and its tendency toward aggressive nationalism. Nationalism became lethal when the economy crashed, and social unrest threatened to upset the political order.
这样的事情以前是发生过的。在某种程度上与中国模式最接近的是十九世纪时的德国。它们都有强大的工业、受过良好教育但是在政治上保持中立的中产阶级以及咄咄逼人的民族主义倾向。当经济崩溃时民族主义成为极具破坏力的事物，而社会的不安宁很有可能会颠覆政治秩序。