A second reason to fear a double-dip recession concerns the fact that oil, energy, and food prices may be rising faster than economic fundamentals warrant, and could be driven higher by the wall of liquidity chasing assets, as well as by speculative demand. Last year, oil at $145 a barrel was a tipping point for the global economy, as it created a major income shock for the US, Europe, Japan, China, India, and other oil-importing economies.
第二个问题是，在资金流向固定资产和投机的双重推动下，原油，能源和食品的价格持续上涨。去年每桶145美元的油价对世界经济有很大的冲击，特别是对美国，欧洲，日本，中国，印度和其他石油进口国来说。对目前极其脆弱的经济来说，如果由于投机使得原油达到100美元一桶，那无疑是雪上加霜的打击。