As Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff’s new book This Time is Different demonstrates, such balance-sheet crises have historically led to economic recoveries that are slow, anemic, and below-trend for many years. Sovereign-debt problems are another strong possibility, given the massive re-leveraging of the public sector.
正如莱因哈特与罗格夫的新书《这回不一样： 800 年来的金融愚行》所证明的，在历史上，像这种资产负债表式危机，之后的经济复苏都是缓慢、无力的，其影响会持续好几年。另一种非常容易出现的情形则是主权债务问题，尤其是在公共部门大规模重建杠杆的条件下。