The Lebanese front may ignite if Hezbollah seeks to avenge Mughniyah’s death, or simply as a result of a knee-jerk reaction to a provocation, as in 2006. If Iran and Syria then decide to back Hezbollah, a direct Israeli-Iranian showdown could follow.
如果真主党对慕尼耶之死实施报复，或者只是像 2006 年那样在遭到挑衅之后本能地予以反击，都有可能在转瞬之间点燃黎巴嫩前线的战火。如果伊朗和叙利亚此后决定支持真主党，一场以色列和伊朗之间的决战就可能不期而至。以色列抢先对伊朗发动攻击可能会被视为必要的自我防御。