The large hole (on the order of $700 billion or more) in global aggregate demand will have to be filled over time by a compensating increase in consumption in surplus economies, such as China and Japan. The longer this takes, the greater the incentives at the national level to capture a share of global demand via protectionist measures.
美国消费者将会放弃以往的消费模式，开始增加储蓄，减少开支。全球需求上的巨大窟窿（大约至少7000亿美元）将会随着时间，通过一些经济体国家，例如中国和日本的逐步增长的消费而慢慢弥补。复苏持续的时间越长，通过贸易保护主义的方法，发展中国家在全球市场上所占份额就会越大。