The unwinding of the US economy might even begin in 2006, particularly if Japan continues to grow out of its doldrums, the US housing market softens dramatically, and Europe’s economic recovery accelerates. Individually, these are each highly plausible scenarios, and collectively they would hit the US trade deficit like a perfect storm.
美国经济可能在2006年开始衰退，特别是在日本经济继续复苏、美国住房市场明显疲软、欧洲经济复苏逐渐加快的情况下，美国的经济衰退更有可能发生。单独去看，每种状况的可能性都无法排除，而这些合在一起，就构成了冲击美国贸易赤字的完美风暴。