History teaches that global economic order is difficult to establish and maintain in the absence of a dominant economic power. The interwar period, which suffered from a similar crisis of leadership, produced not only a collapse of globalization, but a devastating armed conflict on a global scale.
历史告诉我们，没有占主导地位的经济强国，就难以建立和维护全球经济秩序。出现过类似领导危机的战争间歇期不仅导致了全球化崩溃，而且在世界范围内造成了毁灭性的武装冲突。