Moreover, political gridlock over fiscal adjustment is likely to persist, regardless of whether Barack Obama or Mitt Romney wins November’s presidential election. Thus, new fights on the debt ceiling, risks of a government shutdown, and rating downgrades could further depress consumer and business confidence, reducing spending and accelerating a flight to safety that would exacerbate the fall in stock markets.
此外，不管是奥巴马还是罗姆尼赢得11月总统大选，关于财政调整的政治僵局都可能会持续下去。因此，关于债务上限的新斗争、政府破产的风险以及信用评级降级将可能进一步抑制消费和商业信心，拖累开支并加快资金涌向安全资产（从而加速股市下跌）。