Yet, absent a large-scale conflagration, there is a fair chance that 2010 will see a restoration of weak growth in the US, Europe, and Japan, and probably robust growth in most emerging markets. The US economy may have lost a fair chunk of its mojo, but it will require a lot more bad luck and policy blunders to get to a second worldwide Great Depression.
但是，就像繁荣时期的乐观者过于乐观一样，深度悲观者预言萧条已经逼近也许太过悲观。2009年将是艰难的一年。然而，虽然不足燃起熊熊大火，2010年还是很有机会在美国，欧洲和日本目睹经济恢复带来的微弱增长，也许还有最新兴市场里面的强劲增长。美国经济也许已经丧失了许多运气，但若要卷入第二次世界大萧条，它所需要的坏运气和政策失误还远远不够。