In all likelihood, a slew of countries will see output declines of 4-5% in 2009, with some. having true depression level drops, of 10% or more. Worse yet, unless financial systems spring back, growth could disappoint for years to come, especially in “ground zero” countries such as the United States, Britain, Ireland and Spain.  US long-term growth could be particularly dismal, as the Obama administration steers the country toward  more European levels of welfare assistance and income redistribution,
如此说来，2009年许多国家经济会下滑4-5%，一些国家甚至会下降10%甚至更多，进入实际的经济萧条期。更为糟糕的是，除非金融系统转好，否则经济的增长会在许多年内都不可能发生，尤其是在“零汇率”的国家，例如美国，英国，爱尔兰和西班牙等。随着奥巴马的社会福利改革及收入再分配的方案，美国也将会越来越倾向于欧洲的模式，长期的经济形势会变得更糟。