In the first scenario, China becomes caught in a middle-income trap, with per capita GDP stuck at 30% of America’s – an outcome that has characterized Latin America’s five largest economies since at least 1960, and Malaysia since 1994. This would put China’s economic strength relative to the US at 1.1 – well below the necessary ratio.
在第一种情形中，中国将陷入中等收入陷阱，人均GDP停留在美国的30%——拉美最大的五个经济体自1960年以来便处于这一状态，马来西亚则从1994年开始处于这一状态。这意味着中国对美国的相对经济强度为1.1，远远低于必要条件比率。