The IMF has dodged responsibility for far more serious forecasting errors, including its failure to anticipate every major crisis of the last generation, from Mexico in 1994-1995 to the near-collapse of the global financial system in 2008. Indeed, in the 6-12 months prior to every crisis, the IMF’s forecasts implied business as usual.
到目前为止，IMF对其更严重的预测错误闪烁其词，包括未能预测到过去20年中的所有重大危机，从1994—1995年的墨西哥到2008年全球金融体系的几乎崩溃莫不如此。事实上，在每一次危机爆发前6—12个月，IMF的预测都表明一切如常。