A Russian attack on, say, Mariupol, eastern Ukraine’s second-largest port (accounting for roughly one-third of the country’s exports), would devastate an economy that is already tanking. Though several factors – including Western sanctions, a lack of public support for war in Ukraine, and the Russian economy’s rapid decline – should discourage the Kremlin from taking such a step, they may not be enough.
俄罗斯对（比如）乌克兰东部第二大港口马里乌波尔（Mariupol，贡献了乌克兰出口的三分之一左右）的袭击将摧毁已然步履蹒跚的乌克兰经济。尽管诸多因素——包括西方制裁你、对乌战争缺乏公众支持，以及俄罗斯经济的快速衰落——应该让克里姆林宫不会采取这一举动，但也许还不够。毕竟，俄罗斯领导人早已证明了自己的不可预测性。