If no deal to raise the debt ceiling is reached by August 3, interest rates on United States Treasury bonds could spike, or they could remain stable, as investors decide they have other problems to worry about. Or the US Federal Reserve, the Peoples Bank of China (PBC), or both – or even some other body – could support the market.
如果到8月3日还不能就债务上限问题达成一致，那么美国国债利率可能会飙升，但也可能维持稳定（因为投资者会认为还有其他更加值得担忧的东西）。美联储和中国人民银行（以及其他机构）也可能会出手支撑市场。如果人们预期全球经济会进一步疲软，那么利率也可能会上升，而如果此时没有通胀之忧，那么投资者会更多（而不是更少）地持有美国国债。