The second component of the collective bet – the avoidance of policy mistakes – is similarly tenuous. The fundamental assumption here is that the untested, unconventional policies adopted by central banks, particularly in advanced countries, to repress financial volatility and maintain economic stability will buy enough time for governments to design and deliver a more suitable and comprehensive policy response.
集体赌注的第二项——避免政策错误也相当危险。这里的基本假设是中央银行（特别是发达国家中央银行）能够采取未经检验的非常规政策抑制金融波动、维持经济稳定，从而为政府赢得足够时间设计和实施更合理、更全面的政策反应。