Under a flat-line export scenario, with no rise in US exports, and if everything else remains the same (always a heroic assumption), overall real GDP growth would converge on that 1.4% bogey. That is a weak growth trajectory by any standard – likely to result in rising unemployment and further deterioration in consumer confidence.
如果美国出口持平，即没有增长，且其他条件保持不变（相当大胆的假设），总体真实GDP将趋向1.4%。不管用什么标准衡量，这样的增长率都不可不谓疲软——可能造成失业增加和消费信心的进一步受损。