Second, the troika based its programs on overly optimistic assumptions. It misjudged the consequences of fiscal consolidation and credit constraints, underestimating the contraction of employment and overestimating exports and privatization receipts.
其次，三驾马车的计划基于过度乐观的假设。它错判了财政整合和信用约束的后果，低估了就业收缩，高估了出口和私有化进账。