Forecasts are always hazardous, but some “what-if” scenarios shed considerable light on what all of this means for the world’s largest economy. Since the second quarter of 2009, US annualized real GDP growth has averaged 2.4%.
做预测总是有风险的，但不少“假定”情景有助于我们一窥世界第一大经济体的前途。2009年二季度以来，美国年化真实GDP增长率平均为2.4%。其中大约40%由出口贡献，这意味着美国经济的其他部分增长率只有区区1.4%。