I think this view is too optimistic, because I suspect that the government wants to finance its new expenditure with a tax hike. Moreover, the extremely sharp contraction in first-quarter GDP may indicate that the disaster’s negative impact on the economy was more significant than expected.
灾后日本内阁府宣称重建需求和物价上涨将带来相对较快的经济复苏。但笔者认为这个观点可能过于乐观，因为政府可能会加税来填补新的支出项目。此外今年第一季度GDP增长的极度萎缩可能意味着灾难对经济的影响要远超预期！