Even if Greece reaches an agreement in time to make the first IMF installment due in early June, it may not have enough to cover the even larger payments required of it through the rest of the summer. Chances are that the Greek government and its creditors will be back at the negotiating table again.
即使希腊及时达成协议，偿付6月上旬到期首笔IMF分期债务，它也未必能够负担夏天余下时间所需要偿还的数额更大的债务。极有可能，希腊政府及其债权人将再次回到谈判桌。我们希望单方面违约不会成为不可避免之事。但如果希腊真的选择这条路，也应该尽量让这条路更加平滑。