Meanwhile, the EU will run up against serious demographic constraints: in 2025, Europe will represent just 6.5% of the world’s population, compared to Asia’s 61%, and its average age will be 45, compared to 28 in India, 37 in China, and 38 in the US. In the absence of adequate strategies for immigration, integration, health care, education, and much else, Europe’s growth and competitiveness will decline, and social tensions will worsen and multiply.
中国和印度深知这一点：在不到15年的时间内，它们将占到全球研发投入的20%，比当前的比重多一倍多。与此同时，欧盟将面临严重的人口制约：到2025年，欧洲将只占到世界人口的6.5%，相比之下，亚洲将占到61%，欧洲的平均年龄将达到45岁，而印度为28岁，中国为37岁，美国为38岁。没有足够的移民、一体化、医疗保健和教育等战略，欧洲的经济增长和竞争力将下降，社会紧张关系将进一步恶化并增多。