But Lebanon is not alone in that respect: according to the UN and several independent studies, countries in transition from war to peace face roughly a 50% chance of sliding back into warfare. Indeed, in East Timor, Iraq, Afghanistan, Kosovo, and many other countries, the transition to peace seems to be failing.
黎巴嫩在1990年代历尽艰难实施的重建现在正面临毁于一旦的危险。无独有偶：根据联合国及几项独立研究显示，从战争向和平过渡的国家大多都有50%的可能性会重新陷入战乱。的确，在东帝汶、伊拉克、阿富汗、科索沃和其他许多国家，向和平的过渡似乎正在失败。