International finance economists see a far bleaker future. They see the end of large-scale dollar-purchase programs by central banks leading not only to a decline in the dollar, but also to a spike in US long-term interest rates, which will curb consumption spending immediately and throttle investment spending after only a short lag.
国际金融经济学家对前景的预测却远没有那么乐观。他们认为，外国央行停止大规模的美元购买计划不仅会带来美元的下跌，还会造成美国长期利率的升高，而长期利率的飙升会使消费开支立即停止，并进而遏止投资支出。