But the track record of “peak oil” theorists on such matters has not been impressive: their predictions have steadily moved forward the date that global oil production will peak. Worse still, they have made no serious attempt to identify why their earlier predictions have had to be revised.
然而那些持“石油顶峰论”的理论家们的预测成绩却并不能令人信服；他们不断推翻自己的预测，将国际石油产量达到顶峰的日期向后推延。更糟的是，他们也没有认真尝试去说明，自己先前的预测被迫一再修正的原因是什么。