He might not respect the outcome of elections, but he cannot afford to ignore what the last one revealed about the depths of his regime’s unpopularity. His problem is the regime’s utter loss of legitimacy, which means that repression will not be enough.
但卢卡申科也不是个傻子。他或许不会尊重选举的结果，但也无法忽视最近这场大选所反映出的政权极端不受欢迎的现实。他所面临的问题是执政合法性的极大流失，而这意味着单靠镇压已经无法解决问题了。为此卢卡申科需要与白俄罗斯人谈一场新的“交易”，其中的内容也是他盘算好的：经济上的现代化与政治上的“稳定”。