China’s export-led economic model has reached its limits, and the transition to domestic-led growth is intensifying internal frictions. Managing unrest through repression is more difficult than in the past, as rapid urbanization, economic reform, and social change roils a country of 1.3 billion people.
尽管中国在世界事务中拥有更多话语权，但习不得不面对致使中国比一般人认识中更加脆弱的内部压力。中国出口导向的经济模式已经达到极限，而向内需拉动型增长的过渡正在激化内部摩擦。随着城市化快速发展、经济改革和社会变化在这个13亿人口的国家掀起轩然大波，依靠镇压手段管理骚乱比之前难度更大。边远地区的民族冲突也将考验习近平的政治控制力。