According to the same study, which was based on 323 cases of armed and unarmed opposition campaigns between 1900 and 2006, the likelihood of democratic transition within five years following a successful armed opposition campaign is only 3%, compared to 51% when campaigns were unarmed.
同样是这次基于1900至2006年间323例武装及非武装反抗运动的研究结果显示，在反对派发起武装运动成功五年内实现民主过渡的可能性只有3%，而倘若没有爆发武装冲突，这一比例将是51%。