Traditional thinking in economic development has followed a Turing-like approach, trying to specify a general model of the world – based on first principles – and then use that model to think about a country’s predicament or a policy’s potential impact. But the world is often too complex and nuanced for such an approach.
经济发展的传统思维遵循图灵式方针，试图确定一个基于首要原则的一般的世界模式，然后用这一模式思索一国的困境或一项政策的潜在影响。但世界往往太复杂，太微妙，这一方针难以奏效。