The rise of China could go well or badly, depending in part on whether the status quo powers make room for the newcomer – a risk to international stability first noted by Thucydides, who traced the cause of the Peloponnesian War to Sparta’s response to the rising power of Athens. Likewise, failure to accommodate Germany’s rise contributed a century ago to the outbreak of World War I.
中国的崛起是好是坏，在某种程度上取决于现有势力是否能为新人腾出空间——这是最早被古希腊历史学家修昔底德所意识到的一项国际稳定风险，他发现伯罗奔尼撒战争的原因正是斯巴达对雅典力量崛起的回应。同样，一个世纪以前，对德国崛起的无法容纳导致了一战的爆发