Signs of decline in China’s economy, which has racked up double-digit growth for decades, would affect all of its Taiwan policies. When Shanghai stocks fell by about 20% last year, Taiwanese stocks fell by a similar amount almost simultaneously – proof of how synchronized the Chinese and Taiwanese economies have become.
但影响两岸关系的最大事务其实是中国经济本身。在经历了数十年的两位数增长之后，中国经济放缓的迹象将影响其全面对台政策。当上海股市在去年下跌20%之时，台湾股市几乎在同一时间下跌了同一幅度——也证明了两岸经济的同步一致性。而一旦这一同步利益纽带出现破裂，大陆也无法继续按自己的想法行事。