Today’s consensus among economists is that the recession is already over, that the US and global economy will rapidly return to growth, and that there is no risk of a relapse. Unfortunately, this new consensus could be as wrong now as the defenders of the V-shaped scenario were for the past three years.
如今，在美国危机发生的20个月之后，从 2008年夏天开始，全球经济形势变得不可收拾，V型的观点不攻自破。这也是美国乃至全球60年以来最糟糕的一次经济危机。如果美国危机（很有可能在）在今年年底结束，那么和前两次的危机相比，此次危机持续的时间有3倍之长，如果以衰退的产值来计算的话，衰退的程度有5倍之深。