Such an outcome is probably only possible if two conditions are met: first, the United Kingdom joins the euro area, and, second, the United States makes serious, confidence-sapping mistakes. The latter condition may already have been partially met, but US policies to stabilize its financial system should help avoid a major dollar slide.
只有在两种情况下，欧元才能取代美元的地位：一是英国加入欧元区，二是美国犯了非常严重的错误，让其他国家对美元失去信心。后者可能部分地实现，但随后美国政府推出的有效政策，稳定了金融市场，防止美元地位的下滑。欧洲中央银行也一再表示，他们既不鼓励也不放弃将欧元作为国际货币的想法。