The most realistic scenario is now a three-front war pitting Israel against Syria, Hamas, and Hezbollah. But a Syrian-Israeli peace would drive a wedge between Syria and Iran, thereby cutting off Hezbollah’s lines of arms supply while allowing the vital task of stabilizing Lebanon to succeed.
大马士革的转变不仅仅是可能的，也是与地区和平休戚相关的。现在最现实的情景就是一场叙利亚、哈马斯和真主党三方对以色列的战争。但叙－以和平将会如同在叙利亚和伊朗之间插入一只楔子，切断真主党的武器供应线并使稳定黎巴嫩的重要任务能够成功。