Two years could allow markets to see whether Spain’s banks can handle the decline of local real-estate prices, or whether mortgage defaults will lead to widespread bank failures, requiring the Spanish government to finance large deposit guarantees. The next two years would also disclose the financial conditions of Spain’s regional governments, which have incurred debts that are ultimately guaranteed by the central government.
两年时间能使市场看清西班牙银行是否有能力应对地产价格下滑的问题，或者抵押贷款违约是否会导致银行大规模破产，迫使西班牙政府注入巨额存款保证金。同时这两年也将暴露出西班牙地方政府的财政状况，而这些政府无法偿还的债务最终也要由中央政府来担保。