The drop in the spot price of oil has taken it significantly below the five-year forward price, which remains close to $80 per barrel. My hunch for 2015 is that oil prices may continue to drop in the short term; unlike in the past four years, however, they are likely to finish the year higher than they were when it began.
石油现货价格的下跌已经使其显著低于接近每桶80美元的五年远期价格。2015年我的预感是，油价可能在短期内继续下降，但与在过去四年不同的是，年末的油价可能会比年初要高。