He has already proposed a popular referendum on Taiwanese membership in the United Nations. China’s influence within the UN would prevent such a move even if Taiwan voted yes, but an international confrontation is the last thing China wants coinciding with the Olympics.
奥运会同时也会带来严重的外交政策风险。台湾即将离任的总统陈水扁正在掀起独立运动，因为他知道对奥运会的关注会限制北京做出强硬反应的能力。他已经提出要在台湾加入联合国的问题进行全民公投。即便台湾人表决同意加入联合国，中国在联合国内的影响力也会阻止这样的行动，但是国际对抗是中国在奥运会举办期间最不想发生的事情。