Regardless of why conflicts are greater in times of economic adversity, how a society deals with them depends on the scope and quality of its conflict-management institutions. The Oxford University economist Paul Collier has shown that years of weak economic growth typically precede civil war in poor countries.
不管冲突为什么在经济不景气时尤为突出，社会以何种方式应对取决于冲突管理制度的能力和质量。牛津大学经济学家保罗·科利尔已经证明多年增长疲软往往在穷国成为内战的先兆。即使在和平确立后，这些国家再次陷入冲突的可能性也非常高。