The emerging consensus was that the IMF forecast for 2009, issued as the meeting convened, of global stagnation – the lowest growth in the post-war period – was optimistic. The only upbeat note was struck by someone who remarked that Davos consensus forecasts are almost always wrong, so perhaps this time it would prove excessively pessimistic.
但是这次当商业领袖们分享他们的经验之时，我们可以感觉到乌云密布。一位把握了会议精神的演讲者者提出，我们已经从“繁荣与衰退”阶段进入了“繁荣与大决战”阶段。新近冒出的共识是：会议召开时国际货币基金组织就2009年全球停滞作出的预测持有乐观态度，而本轮全球停滞的经济增长率是战后以来最低的。唯一的乐观音符是有人评论达沃斯的一致预测几乎总是错误的，所以也许这次的预测可能会被证明是过于悲观了。