Meanwhile, the supply of most commodities is forecast to grow by no more than 2% annually in real terms. All else being equal, unless China’s commodity intensity, defined as the amount of a commodity consumed to generate a unit of output, falls dramatically, its demand for commodities will be greater this year than it was last year.
最坏的估计是，中国真实GDP增长率将在未来十年中处于每年7%左右的水平。与此同时，大部分商品的供给的真实年增长率估计不会超过2%。在其他条件不变的情况下，除非中国的商品强度（即生产一单位产出所消费的商品量）大幅下降，其商品需求将逐年递增。