But if a forecaster tells us that he “expects” a growth rate of 3%, does that mean that he thinks that it is as likely to be above 3% as it is to be below 3% – the “median,” as he sees it, of the distribution of possible growth rates?
Sin embargo, si un analista nos dice que "espera" un índice de crecimiento del 3%, ¿significa que piensa que es tan probable que esté por sobre como por debajo del 3%, la "mediana" de la distribución de los índices de crecimiento posibles?