Mae’n rhy gynnar i asesu pa effaith y bydd y cyfnod atal byr yn ei chael ar lefel trosglwyddiad COVID-19, ond gallwn ddisgwyl i’r duedd am i fyny sydd wedi cael ei gweld yng Nghymru ers mis Medi, sefydlogi rhywfaint. Nodaf fod rhai rhannau o Gymru wedi gweld dirywiad ar lefel gyflymach na’r disgwyl, gydag ardaloedd ym Myrddau Iechyd Lleol Cwm Taf Morgannwg ac Aneurin Bevan bellach yn gweld lefelau hynod o uchel o’r feirws yn cael ei drosglwyddo yn y gymuned, sy’n effeithio ar y system iechyd a gofal o ganlyniad. Mae Ymgynghorwyr Rheoli Clefydau Trosglwyddadwy sy’n cefnogi’r ardaloedd hyn yn mynegi lefelau uchel o bryder am gapasiti’r system Profi, Olrhain, Diogelu o ran ymdopi â’r galw presennol a’r galw yn y dyfodol. Mae perygl y gallai’r patrwm hwn ymestyn i rannau eraill o Gymru.
It is too early to assess the impact of the firebreak on transmission of COVID-19 but we can anticipate some stabilisation of the rising trend which has been seen in Wales since September. I note that some parts of Wales have seen a more rapid deterioration than we anticipated with areas related to the CTM and AB Local Health Boards now experiencing particularly high levels of community transmission with consequent impact on the health and care system. Consultants in Communicable Disease (CCDCs) who are supporting these areas are expressing high levels of concern over the capacity of TTP system to cope with present and future demand. There is a risk that this pattern could extend to other parts of Wales.