 According to the tables above, even if the defendant is not the culprit, the eyewitness testimony would still incriminate him with probability of .4, while the blood evidence with probability equal to only .063. The blood type frequency estimate is realistic (Lucy 2013: 141), and so are the conditional probabilities for the eyewitness identification. As expected, eyewitness testimony is assumed to be less trustworthy than blood match evidence (but for complications about assessing eyewitness testimony, see Wixted and Wells 2017; Urbaniak et al. 2020).