 The framework is set out with an example. Suppose an aficionado of Researcher A is highly confident that anything said by Researcher A is true. Some other researcher, Researcher B, then attempts to replicate an experiment by Researcher A, and Researcher B find results that conflict with those of Researcher A. Earp and Trafimow claim that the aficionado might continue to be confident in Researcher A’s findings, but the aficionado’s confidence is likely to slightly decrease. As the number of failed replication attempts increases, the aficionado’s confidence accordingly decreases, eventually falling below 50% and thereby placing more confidence in the replication failures than in the findings initially reported by Researcher A.