 Here, then, a replication failure would reduce the aficionado’s confidence that the original result was true so that the aficionado would be only 25 times more confident that the result is true given a failure (as per \(\frac{p(T\mid F)}{p(\nneg T\mid F)}\)) rather than 50 times more confident that it is true (as per \(\frac{p(T)}{p(\nneg T)}\)).