 To illustrate the range of applications of legal probabilism, consider a stylized case. Alice is charged with murder. Traces at the crime scene, which the perpetrator probably left, genetically match Alice. An eyewitness testifies that Alice ran away from the scene after the crime was committed. Another witness asserts that Alice had previously threatened the victim multiple times. Alice, however, has an alibi. Mark claims he was with her for the entire day. This case raises several questions. How should the evidence be evaluated? How to combine conflicting pieces of evidence, such as the incriminating DNA match and the alibi testimony? If the standard of decision in a murder case is proof beyond a reasonable doubt, how strong should the evidence be to meet this standard?