 These scenarios are like lottery cases in which the probability of a proposition such as “my ticket is a loser” is high, yet intuitively the proposition cannot count as knowledge (see, e.g., Harman 1968; Ebert, Smith, and Durbach 2018; Hawthorne 2004; Lawlor 2013; Nelkin 2000). The evidence in these scenarios—in particular, Gatecrasher and Prisoner—does not single out an individual specifically, but applies to any member of a group. Just as in lottery cases any ticket is very likely to lose, anyone who attended the rodeo or any prisoner in the yard is very likely to be liable. In this sense, naked statistical evidence is sometimes contrasted with individualized or case-specific evidence such as trace evidence or eyewitness testimony (Colyvan, Regan, and Ferson 2001; Stein 2005; Thomson 1986; Williams 1979). The distinction is contested, however. Any form of evidence, after all, relies on a categorization that places the defendant in a class with others, being the class of those who have such-and-such facial features or were in such-and-such a place (Harcourt 2006; Saks and Kidd 1980; Schauer 2003; Schoeman 1987; Wright 1988). Tillers (1997, 2005) notes that it is not always objectionable to base inferences about the behavior of an individual on the behavior of others, for example, membership in a gang or in the Ku Klux Klan can be indicative of someone’s beliefs.