 [W]ere a person to tell us that … at the time of drawing a lottery, he happened to hear his age, the day of the month, and the date of the year drawn together, we should scarcely believe him, tho’ we know that he was not more unlikely to hear these numbers drawn, than any other particular numbers. But if the same person was only to tell us the numbers themselves, and the coincidence which strikes us was entirely our own discovery, we should have just the same reason for believing his account, as if there had been no such coincidence. (D 422–3)