 Calibrating your confidence to the probability that “you would be right” is a way of matching your confidence in P to your expected reliability about P, so the Equal Weight View is in part a level-bridging principle. And the “prior” and “conditional” clauses commit Elga to an Independence principle as well: he is saying that we must set aside the specific first-order evidence and reasoning about the relevant matter, and consider only the surrounding “circumstances”. In the very next paragraph Elga clarifies that “whatever you have learned about the circumstances of the disagreement” must be independent from the reasoning leading to the disagreement itself. Instead, it should include facts about the situation that would affect your or your peer’s reliability, such as how much coffee you have each had, how absurd you find the other person’s answer, and whether the reasoning invites a type of mistake that you or your friend is especially likely to make.