 We overcome the inhibition after the winning ticket is announced. Now the ticket is known to be a loser and tossed in the trash. But wait! Testimony does not furnish certainty. Nor does perception or recollection . When pressed, we admit there is a small chance that we misperceived the drawing or that the newscaster misread the winning number or that we are misremembering. While in this concessive mood, we are apt to relinquish our claim to know. The skeptic syllogizes from this surrender: For any contingent proposition, there is a lottery statement that is more probable and which is unknown. A known proposition cannot be less probable than an unknown proposition. So no contingent proposition is known (Hawthorne 2004). That is too much to give up! Yet the skeptic’s statistics seem impeccable.