 Hartman (2017) offers a version of this strategy that is explicitly analogical (pp. 105–07). Consider three agents who all form the intention and plan to carry out a murder. Each has a single opportunity to pull the trigger of a gun. Sneezy sneezes and so is unable to pull the trigger; Off-Target pulls the trigger, but the bullet is intercepted by a bird, and Bulls-Eye pulls the trigger and hits her target. By hypothesis, there is circumstantial luck, so, claims Hartman, Sneezy is less blameworthy than Off-Target, even though she would have pulled the trigger had her allergies not acted up. But given the parallels between Sneezy and Off-Target (same intentions, plans, and so on) are similar to the parallels between Off-Target and Bulls-Eye, we have analogical evidence that Off-Target is less blameworthy than Bulls-Eye. 