  A fourth method of arguing for a miracle claim is to employ the machinery of Bayesian probability and argue that some fact or set of facts renders the conclusion probable (for a categorical argument) or significantly more probable than it was taken apart from those facts (for a confirmatory one). The argument could be cast in categorical form using the odds form of Bayes’s Theorem. It is a simple consequence of Bayes’s Theorem that, where ‘\(M\)’ is the claim that a miracle has taken place and ‘\(E\)’ is some evidence bearing on that claim, and where all of the relevant terms are defined,