 It can be shown that the Bayesian notion of relevance confirmation allows for this pattern of judgments, because (given \(k\)) evidence \(e\) above increases the probability of \(h\) but may well have the opposite effect on \(h^*\) (see Sober 1994 for important remarks along similar lines). Notably, \(h\) entails \(h^*\) by plain instantiation, and so contradicts \(\neg h^*\). As a consequence, the implication that \(C_{P}(h,e\mid k)\) is positive while \(C_{P}(h^*,e\mid k)\) is not clashes with each of the following, and proves them unduly restrictive: the Special Consequence Condition (SCC), the Predictive Inference Condition (PIC), and the Consistency Condition (Cons). Note that these principles were all evaded by HD-confirmation, but all implied by confirmation as firmness (see above).