  where \(E\) is the proposed evidence for a miracle, and make the simplifying approximation that \(P(E\mid M) \approx P({\sim}M)\), since both terms are close to 1. Then the right side reduces to the ratio of the two remaining “small” terms, \(P(M)/P(E\mid {\sim}M)\), which will be a fair approximation of the posterior odds. Then the posterior probability of M will exceed 0.5 just in case \(P(M) \gt P(E\mid {\sim}M)\). This interpretation is endorsed by Holder (1998) but challenged by Millican (2002), who also surveys various other probabilistic interpretations of Hume’s maxim.