 Merricks (1995) replies that it’s only the probability of the entire belief corpus that goes down when beliefs are added. But the individual probabilities of the beliefs it contains are what’s at issue. And from the detective’s point of view, her individual beliefs do become more probable when made sense of by the additional information that the suspect has an identical twin. Shogenji (1999) differs: coherence of the whole cannot influence probability of the parts. Coherence is for the parts to stand or fall together, so just as coherence makes all the members more likely to be true together, it makes it more likely that they are all false (at the expense of the possibility that some will turn out true and others false).