Did Pinkie know something that nopony else did? She’d had misses—she was completely off the mark about Zecora—but her hits were more common. She’d solved the problem with the parasprites, and her pinkie-sense tended to work reliably on monsters and falling objects. Even the toxic muffins had motivated everypony to help Applejack despite her protests. Her seemingly disastrous attempt to help Cranky Doodle had reunited him with his long-lost love. Could this be another case where she knew that the cupcake would do no harm, or where its presence would set in motion a chain of events that were beneficial to the citizens of Ponyville?